The Olduvai Theory

“”"The measuring of industrial civilisation by a single ratio – world annual energy use to population”"”
( http://www.wolfatthedoor.org.uk/)

Even if the dates are out of whack, the reverb on understanding the image below might get your attention.
Personally, I differ from this website on reverting to the stone age, there’s enough junk around for everyone to make electricity with a magnet, some copper wire and a bicycle. And humans sleep, so just 24/7 industrial scale projects are in jepardy. Fast transportation will be replaced by sailboats again. Thus in a crisis making industrial projects more local and human scale to the point of a village specialist like the tailor, doctor and blacksmith etc. What’s old is new again. A modern pioneering age?

Also we are the best educated civilization ever. When we realize too late and wake up from the oil dreamworld we will need to work together as a world and it is here that I’m more hopeful.

But this diagram, if reflective of what awaits us all, means to test us.

energy-vs-population
ref: http://dieoff.org/page224_files/image008.jpg

Note 1: (1930) the beginning of Industrial Civilisation
Note 2: (1979) all time peak of world energy production per capita
Note 3: (1999) the end of cheap oil
Note 4: (2000) eruption of violence in the Middle East
Note 5: (2006) all-time peak in world oil production
Note 6: 2008 :: OPEC crossover when more than 50% of oil comes from the OPEC nations
Note 7: (2012) permanent blackouts spread worldwide
Note 8: (2030) world energy production falls to 1930 level

Responses

  1. Southern Ontario is ideally suited to handle energy scaricty. Yes we have coal and natural gas, so aren’t getting away from it, but with lots of hydroelectric and nuclear power, we may not hit the potential blackout level of most parts of Canada or US states. Quebec would equally be buffeted by declines to some degree.

    Hence electrification will rise


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